Tinfoil Hat Theory: What Are They Really Planning?
*Disclaimer: The contents below are pure speculations derived from the public statements from both the Lamigo Monkeys and the CPBL about this Luke Heimlich case.
With the Lamigo Monkeys insist to sign a convicted child molester Luke Heimlich, and with the CPBL being extremely slow reviewing Heimlich’s contract. It makes you wonder, perhaps, there is more to this story.
Under the Table Deal Involving Lamigo Monkeys
Would it be possible the Lamigo Monkeys have struck a deal with an MLB organisation or a players’ agency under the table? Sign Heimlich for a year or so, then sell his contract back to the United States into the MLB system.
Looking at the earlier statement from the Lamigo Monkeys, their general manager mentioned the Monkeys have received a recommendation letter from an MLB organisation. And he also hinted that Heimlich will not stay in Taiwan for long.
Someone Fired the First Shot: Setting Precedent
Prior to the 2018 MLB draft, there were plenty of reports that several MLB organisations were thinking about signing Luke Heimlich, but backed out due to the tremendous amount of public backlash.
It is all about setting a precedent, with the Lamigo Monkeys signing the Heimlich, essentially somebody within the professional baseball world has fired the first shot. Maybe this is the type of thing the MLB organisations or players agency are waiting for?
Potential Payout: Sell Contract to MLB
What is there for the Lamigo Monkeys? What was promised or given to them that made the Monkeys’ front office to completely ignored their moral standard? Is it safe to assumed there will be some significant amount of contract buyout fee associated to it?
Which brings us to the next questions, how much is Luke Heimlich worth? The typical MLB first-round draft pick signing bonus is around two million to seven million US dollar. But since he went undrafted, it makes sense that no team will want to pay the market price for him.
With “discount” added, let’s say cutting down to around $400,000 to $800,000 USD. Which is still a pretty big amount of money for a team like the Lamigo Monkeys. Especially when their highest-paid player is currently on $220,000 USD a year.
Other Potential Outcome: Heimlich Stays in Taiwan
What if the Lamigo Monkeys did not strike an under the table deal with an MLB organisation, they simply just want to sign a player like Luke Heimlich?
In that case, it will work out well for the Monkeys too. Since Heimlich already got blacklisted by the MLB and assuming CPBL was not his first choice in Asia, we can eliminate the NPB and the KBO out too.
This leaves the Monkeys with a young 22-year-old, potential MLB first-round draft pick in their rotation. Judging by his pitching ability, on paper, Heimlich should do very well in Taiwan for many years to come.
What About the League?
Despite under article 94, by pleading guilty to the charges, Heimlich already breached the Players Misconduct Acts. From looking at the rule, it seems like a very straight forward thing, yet days after the whole incident started, the case is still under review by the league.
So, what is the league’s interest in this whole thing? Why do they keep dragging the review process? Is it possible the league are in on it as well? Perhaps they will receive a decent size donation from the Lamigo Monkeys after they sold Heimlich’s contract?
Real Truth, We Will Never Know
Like I said at the very beginning, the contents of this blog post are pure speculations. Whether it is really the case, we will never know. Only Luke Heimlich, his agent, and the Lamigo Monkeys know the real truth, and they certainly not going to tell me.